
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 30.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25% on 10 Mar 2026. $242.89K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 9:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 22%–34%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 25.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TTdes | Yes | 4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.13K |
| Cannae | Yes | 776.1 |
| Ishness | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between CA Osasuna and Girona FC.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-osa-gir-2026-03-21
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| Painfulvoid | Yes | 495 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 466.08 |
| Stark22 | Yes | 384.06 |
| rafasoaz | Yes | 352.56 |
| notJaneStreet | Yes | 300 |
| nikola17 | Yes | 300 |