Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.5%. Yes opened at 29% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 12 Mar 2026.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 8:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 29.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.13K |
| ZZB2 | Yes | 1.62K |
| Adept-Oleo | Yes | 909.09 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 849.77 |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 443.39 |
| Composed-Homogenate | Yes | 337.15 |
| nikola17 | Yes | 300 |
| notJaneStreet | Yes | 300 |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 297.25 |
| Untimely-Avocado | Yes | 185.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between CA Osasuna and Girona FC.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-osa-gir-2026-03-21
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