Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 31% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 6 Feb 2026. $141.64K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 15 Feb 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 30.5% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 16.04K |
| ElInesperado | Yes | 2.57K |
| ity7tyhth | Yes | 2.09K |
| udfghy | Yes | 1.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 15, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-mal-bet-2026-02-15
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