
Resolved Yes on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 57.5%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 7 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 57.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 59% on 25 Feb 2026.
136 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 10:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 62.5% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 432614799197 | No | 293.85K |
| Cannae | No | 49.68K |
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | No | 39.77K |
| hugesportswhale | No | 27.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between Club Atlético de Madrid and Real Sociedad de Fútbol.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-mad-rso-2026-03-07
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| Lilybaeum | No | 26.24K |
| 1xx2 | No | 19.85K |
| Avarice31 | No | 7.82K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.21K |
| jizzbucket57 | No | 6K |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 4.43K |