Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 15 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 20 Sep 2025 and the low 40% on 22 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 40% on 22 Sep 2025. $567.76K traded over the market's life.
427 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 15 Sep 2025 – 27 Sep 2025, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2025 | 49.5% |
| 27 Sep 2025 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sinestia | Yes | 21.92K |
| eternalgirl | Yes | 19.67K |
| ajsj37372828 | Yes | 17.73K |
| German240706 | Yes | 11.94K |
| XXX111XXX | Yes | 6.35K |
| 9879 | Yes | 5.89K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.45K |
| maestroJ | Yes | 4.51K |
| DegenTrader111 | Yes | 3.8K |
| DVSFESFEW | Yes | 3.65K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming LAL game, scheduled for September 27 at 10:15AM ET, If Real Madrid wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Real Madrid loses, this market will resolve to “No”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-mad-rea-2025-09-27
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