Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.5%. Yes opened at 27% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 27% on 10 Mar 2026.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 9:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 27.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NorthBalticMan9 | Yes | 140K |
| frankfrankfrank | Yes | 30K |
| Melodic-Wrinkle | Yes | 12.48K |
| Cannae | Yes | 4.72K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.94K |
| mylastbet | Yes | 1.48K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 704.87 |
| LangDD | Yes | 693.1 |
| lopux | Yes | 482.22 |
| notJaneStreet | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Levante UD and Real Oviedo.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-lev-ovi-2026-03-21
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