Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 22 Sep 2025 and the low 31.5% on 27 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 36.5% on 26 Sep 2025. $49.84K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 22 Sep 2025 – 4 Oct 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2025 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yes | 30K |
| Stevevz | Yes | 1.73K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 1.25K |
| Cosmic Horizon 0238 | Yes | 677.33 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 646.67 |
| Kbr | Yes | 622 |
| 3ggs | Yes | 500.07 |
| chocho | Yes | 454.55 |
| riccopong | Yes | 167 |
| ryu2023 | Yes | 129.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming LAL game, scheduled for October 4 at 10:15AM ET, If Valencia wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Valencia loses, this market will resolve to “No”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-gir-val-2025-10-04
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