Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 3 May 2026, the highest close was 32% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 22% on 25 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 22.5% on 24 Apr 2026. $106.55K traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 10:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 3 May 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 29.5% |
| 3 May 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Milo100 | Yes | 20K |
| designateddavid | Yes | 8K |
| Periodic-Spine | Yes | 6.54K |
| Jade Sphinx DC05 | Yes | 5.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Real Madrid CF.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-esp-rea-2026-05-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.84K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Yes | 1.61K |
| pr0xim | Yes | 1.28K |
| Abdu | Yes | 1.25K |
| acejackfacial | Yes | 1.14K |
| plebbsc | Yes | 1K |
