Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 22 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 22 Mar 2026.
214 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 7:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 58.0% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CemeterySun | Yes | 308.73K |
| hugesportswhale | Yes | 70K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.84K |
| radonav | Yes | 4.17K |
| Griffin6868 | Yes | 4K |
| din8522 | Yes | 3.47K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 2.3K |
| ZZB2 | Yes | 2.16K |
| GodZalla | Yes | 1.99K |
| Golden Signal 653E | Yes | 1.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between RC Celta de Vigo and Deportivo Alavés.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-cel-ala-2026-03-22
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