
Resolved No on 12 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 30 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2026 to 12 May 2026, the highest close was 34% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 9 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 19% on 4 May 2026. $198.96K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 13, 10:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 30 Apr 2026 – 12 May 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | 33.5% |
| 12 May 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x891809c | Yes | 10K |
| OranG3 | Yes | 5K |
| Unripe-Stench | Yes | 3.43K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 3.15K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Tuesday, May 12, 2026 between Real Betis Balompié and Elche CF.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-bet-elc-2026-05-12
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