Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 25% on 20 Oct 2026. $831.18 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 5:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 21.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neshudo | Yes | 105.26 |
| Bright Signal F91B | Yes | 80.75 |
| VelikaKurcina91 | Yes | 55.56 |
| pizdi.bolyu | Yes | 44.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming La Liga game between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona score more goals than Real Madrid CF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF score more goals than FC Barcelona in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-rea-2026-10-25-second-half-result
| poshposh | Yes | 29 |
| Forecastication2 | Yes | 9 |
| dekisiego | Yes | 7.69 |
| Lunar Orbit 2382 | Yes | 5.26 |
| ChairmanFed | Yes | 5 |
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