
Resolved Yes on 31 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48%. Yes opened at 47% on 28 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48% on 31 Aug 2026 and the low 24% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 48% on 31 Aug 2026. $5.57K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 9:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 28 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 47.0% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aleex227 | No | 500 |
| dado2 | No | 500 |
| TestingMyGangster | No | 399.98 |
| garamvadapav3 | No | 181.12 |
| cristinathearena | No | 63 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 57.67 |
| ivan9999 | No | 50 |
| UnionPivo | No | 39.31 |
| Rocks3 | No | 15 |
| saulgoedman | No | 14.52 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming La Liga game between FC Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Raphinha is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-ray-2026-08-31-player-props
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