Analytics
Yes is at 57.5%, up 2.5 points from 55% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.5% on 22 Oct 2026 and the lowest 52% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 52%.
Deportivo Alavés is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF”, ahead of Draw (Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF) at 26.5%.
$1.7K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.51K since listing. The order book holds $106K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 46 trades, $1.22K bought Yes and $152.71 bought No.
The largest Yes position is sportlikely with 530 shares; the largest No position is VeryLucky888 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 85.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 55.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 57.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | No | 1.3K |
| Flaznorp | No | 615 |
| sportlikely | Yes | 530.21 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 23, 2026 If Deportivo Alavés wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lal-ala-mala-2026-10-23
| realrtrd |
| Yes |
| 431.03 |
| Probably-Likely | Yes | 283.02 |
| 750S | Yes | 267.86 |
| Welshy | Yes | 234.44 |
| WeBuyHighWeSelllow | Yes | 200 |
| Grumpy-Oven | Yes | 180 |
| capitalpiston2 | No | 118.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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