Analytics
Resolved Aguirre on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Aguirre at 81%. The Aguirre side opened at 65% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 83% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 65% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 81% on 10 Jul 2026. $49.1K traded over the market's life.
109 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 10:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Aguirre price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026, chart shows 60%–90%
| Observed | Aguirre price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 65.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 81.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Imperturbable-Basketball | Edul | 1.23K |
| Azure Vector 0D8C | Edul | 483.76 |
| EnigmaLens | Edul | 427.24 |
| mileitrader | Edul | 324.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Aguirre" if Edu Aguirre is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gastón Edul, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI. It will resolve to "Edul" if Gastón Edul is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50". If either Edu Aguirre or Gastón Edul does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/la-velada-del-ano-6-edu-aguirre-vs-gaston-edul-20260708163317222
| Crimson Meteor 9AD3 | Edul | 320.01 |
| thevisionaryman | Edul | 316.96 |
| Candid-Visitor | Edul | 316.23 |
| kalikali | Edul | 245.83 |
| Unhealthy-Scraper | Edul | 237.77 |
| nachito43 | Edul | 200 |
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