Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 22 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 10.5% on 22 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.3 points down, to 0.7% on 24 Dec 2025. $9.55K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 26, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 22 Dec 2025 – 25 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2025 | 10.5% |
| 25 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 900 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 392 |
| 9735 | Yes | 300 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 295.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 265 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 195 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 183 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 134 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 113 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Kodiak's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Kodiak (https://x.com/kodiakfi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kodiak-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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