
Resolved No on 27 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 20 Jan 2026 and the low 11% on 25 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 12% on 24 Jan 2026. $180.89 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 27 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 50 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
| vger7 | Yes | 25 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| hesure | Yes | 11.99 |
| topos1 | Yes | 11.11 |
| rocket661 | Yes | 8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Knife Index hit in the week of January 19 - January 26?
Resolution source: https://dupe.fi/insights
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/knife-index-above-on-january-26
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