
Resolved Yes on 27 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 91% on 26 Jan 2026 and the low 50% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 50.5% on 27 Jan 2026. $1.4K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 20 Jan 2026 – 27 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 348.54 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 302 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 218 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 121 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 74 |
| bjprolo | No | 50 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 30 |
| vger7 | No | 25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Knife Index hit in the week of January 19 - January 26?
Resolution source: https://dupe.fi/insights
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/knife-index-above-on-january-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page