
Resolved Yes on 27 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 93.5% on 27 Jan 2026 and the low 50% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 88.5% on 24 Jan 2026. $1.24K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 20 Jan 2026 – 27 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | 93.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 361 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 289 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 208 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 144 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 71 |
| bjprolo | No | 50 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| vger7 | No | 25 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 15 |
| hesure | No | 12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Knife Index hit in the week of January 19 - January 26?
Resolution source: https://dupe.fi/insights
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/knife-index-above-on-january-26
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