Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 44% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 29 Nov 2025, the highest close was 44% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.1% on 29 Nov 2025. $1.32M traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 29 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 44.0% |
| 29 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fakiro | Yes | 10K |
| marius420 | Yes | 8K |
| zolli | Yes | 6K |
| CryptoDavy | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Kinetiq's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Kinetiq (http://kinetiq.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kinetiq-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| navlib | Yes | 2.12K |
| leotionrek | Yes | 2K |
| headortails | Yes | 1.24K |
| over. | Yes | 1.03K |
| StudioFX | Yes | 1K |
| oleeg | Yes | 1K |
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