Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 24 Apr 2026, the highest close was 34.8% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 24 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 0.4% on 24 Apr 2026. $1.98K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 25, 4:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 24 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 3.5% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.35K |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 199.98 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 105 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/khamenei_ir
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-april-17-april-24-2026
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 25 |
| Hlidskjalf | Yes | 18.6 |
| Cobalt Scout 684D | Yes | 12.51 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| animal.bean | Yes | 5 |
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