Analytics
Resolved No on 13 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 18% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 13 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 5.5% on 7 Mar 2026. $305.78K traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 14, 4:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 13 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 18.0% |
| 13 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wary-Tragedy | Yes | 9.96K |
| yxv | Yes | 6.67K |
| aelhara | Yes | 4.92K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kevin-warsh-fed-chair-nomination-withdrawn-by-may-15
| Yes |
| 4.67K |
| Annointed1 | Yes | 2.82K |
| jorgicrak | Yes | 2.7K |
| RiskyyLemon | Yes | 2.12K |
| itrusty | Yes | 2.05K |
| Beautiful-Cluster | No | 1.6K |
| Red-Trek | Yes | 1.44K |
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