Katie Ledecky wins 4+ gold medals?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 5, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$12.6K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 5, 2024 UTC

Topic roomOil, gold and commodities

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Aug 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 26 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2024 to 5 Aug 2024, the highest close was 10% on 27 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.7 points down, to 3.3% on 28 Jul 2024. $12.57K traded over the market's life.

2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 12:42 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 26 Jul 2024 – 5 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Jul 2024	8.5%
5 Aug 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.03K
Cobalt Harbor 0E10	Yes	1

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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