Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.4% on 20 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 50% on 26 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 50% on 26 Mar 2024. $845.35 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 20 Mar 2024 – 1 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2024 | 2.4% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 0.1% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any listed member of the British Royal Family or their representative(s) officially states the video footage of Kate Middleton released on March 18 is fake (see https://www.tmz.com/2024/03/18/kate-middleton-seen-new-video-windsor-farm-shop-prince-william/). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution date for this market is March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The members of the royal family that count toward this market's resolution are as follows: King Charles III, Queen Camilla, Prince William, Princess Catherine, Princess Anne, Prince Edward, Duchess Sophie. The primary resolution source is official statements from the British Royal Family and/or their official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used to determine whether they made any such statements.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kate-middleton-video-fake
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