Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 19 Mar 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.3% on 19 Mar 2026 and the lowest 74.5% on 28 Feb 2026.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 9:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 19 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 74.5% |
| 19 Mar 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nbabii | No | 10K |
| acal | No | 5.54K |
| Rewardsfarm | No | 3.64K |
| 0xHakon | No | 3.16K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Katana's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Katana (https://x.com/katana) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/katana-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| tomsir | No | 2.67K |
| buybuy | No | 1.07K |
| kunti | No | 1K |
| EvoTECH | No | 645.86 |
| jinwandalaohu24 | No | 392.88 |
| Calculating-Judgment | No | 383.25 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
