Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 12 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 9.5% on 13 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 5 Nov 2024. $86.49K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 12 Oct 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2024 | 8.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is photographed or videotaped with a gun on her person (e.g. she is holding a gun, wearing a holstered gun, has a gun in her waistband, etc.) between October 10, ET and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Kamala with a gun on her person.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kamala-photographed-with-a-gun-before-the-election
New to prediction markets?
| harveydanger | Yes | 13 |
| Casp | Yes | 5.08 |
| Mates | Yes | 0.04 |
| LucyCross | No | 0.02 |
| Indigo Voyager E113 | No | 0.02 |
| tuankienn | No | 0.01 |
