Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 20 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 16.5% on 20 Aug 2024 and the low 5.5% on 22 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 7% on 21 Aug 2024. $86.79K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 6:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2024 | 16.5% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.75K |
| KenMaster | Yes | 3.17K |
| publius2024 | Yes | 2.5K |
| Orange-Vertigo | Yes | 493.25 |
| RaIsTheSunGod | Yes | 211 |
| iioooiii | Yes | 133 |
| bobob | Yes | 88.67 |
| Psychotrading | Yes | 63.03 |
| Primary-Mansion | Yes | 50 |
| mrGEO13 | Yes | 1.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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