
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 20 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 16.5% on 20 Aug 2024 and the low 9% on 22 Aug 2024. $51.66K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 6:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2024 | 16.5% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.75K |
| Thz | Yes | 375 |
| Light-Syndrome | Yes | 125 |
| marginal | Yes | 90 |
| Primary-Mansion | Yes | 50 |
| andy29 | Yes | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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