Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 8.5% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Mar 2025. $21.78K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 8.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cccc1766 | Yes | 99.99 |
| kekule | Yes | 83.33 |
| simmonsstephen | No | 1.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber and/or Hailey Bieber announce their intention to divorce between January 20 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement within this market's timeframe of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Justin Bieber and/or Hailey Bieber, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/justin-hailey-bieber-divorce-before-april
| No |
| 1.65 |
| richardescobar | No | 1.63 |
| tdecker | No | 1.26 |
| maksik.skuf | No | 0.01 |
| sosolan | No | 0.01 |
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