Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 27 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2023 to 31 Jan 2024, the highest close was 91% on 31 Jan 2024 and the lowest 45.5% on 11 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 46.5% on 7 Jan 2024. $12.04K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 6:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Dec 2023 – 31 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2023 | 50.5% |
| 31 Jan 2024 | 91.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ashwatthama | No | 170.61 |
| RandomNameForNow | No | 7.69 |
| Monzi | Yes | 0.07 |
| PolymarketUser-465 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Nov 15, 2023, Jupiter announced airdrop allocation details for airdrop #1: https://twitter.com/weremeow/status/1724855485507981454. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by January 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Jupiter Project team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jupiter-airdrop-by-jan-31
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