Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2023 to 7 Feb 2024, the highest close was 59% on 31 Dec 2023 and the lowest 6% on 2 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 53% on 27 Jan 2024. $12.19K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 7, 5:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 27 Dec 2023 – 7 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2023 | 50.0% |
| 7 Feb 2024 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| klong | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Exchange's token ($JUP) is above $1.000 (i.e. $1.001 or greater) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "One week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token airdrop occurs. This market description will be updated with the exact time it occurred as soon as it is known. The resolution source for this market will be Binance, specifically the spot price of Jupiter Exchange's token. If the price doesn't exist on Binance at resolution time, a consensus of highly liquid price sources will be used instead. If Jupiter doesn't airdrop by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jup-above-1-one-week-after-launch
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