Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 56.5% on 1 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 30 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 33.5% on 2 Jan 2025. $323.9K traded over the market's life.
188 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 6:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 47.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 449.2 |
| Buzzing-Arm | Yes | 315.96 |
| fomxw | Yes | 71.66 |
| testertest | No | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the likelihood and specifics of airdrop events occurring in the first quarter of 2025.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-in-q1-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ndrim07 | Yes | 33.27 |
| trumph | Yes | 27.69 |
| koike | Yes | 25.1 |
| sham710 | Yes | 22.61 |
| basei | Yes | 21.74 |
| gilbertpaul | Yes | 16 |