Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 26 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 90% on 5 Apr 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 90% on 5 Apr 2025. $4.51K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 26 Mar 2025 – 1 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2025 | 24.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. District Judge James Boasberg formally holds any official, agency, or representative of the Trump administration in contempt of court by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Civil or criminal contempt will qualify. The resolution source will be official federal court records however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/judge-boasberg-holds-trump-administration-in-contempt-of-court-before-may
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