Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 23 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 56 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2025 to 17 Oct 2025, the highest close was 100% on 17 Oct 2025 and the lowest 13% on 12 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 83.3% on 11 Oct 2025. $45.05K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 23 Aug 2025 – 17 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | 26.5% |
| 17 Oct 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ethical-Highland | No | 1K |
| Rizk | No | 768 |
| Tiny-Algebra | No | 448.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former US national security advisor John Bolton between August 20, and October 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/john-bolton-federally-charged-by-october-31
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