
Resolved No on 2 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2% on 2 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2024 to 2 Aug 2024, the highest close was 2% on 2 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Aug 2024. $63.69K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 3, 5:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 2 Jul 2024 – 2 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2024 | 2.0% |
| 2 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| meditator | Yes | 5 |
| Whisper-435 | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Jill Biden for elder abuse by August 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, elder abuse is defined as any act that involves physical, emotional, or financial harm, or neglect of an elderly individual, as legally defined by the relevant jurisdiction. The District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jill-biden-charged-with-elder-abuse
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page