Analytics
Resolved Boy on 22 Jan 2026.
$26.52K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Boy price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 22 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Boy price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 98.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lovely-Swim | Girl | 15.36K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Girl | 386 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Girl | 309 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Girl | 217 |
| Bxrn | Girl | 200 |
| Turbulent-Hubcap | Girl | 192.79 |
| Kralkobra1907 | Girl | 111.96 |
| 738925 | Girl | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Girl | 92 |
| magnitico | Girl | 40.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Usha and J.D. Vance announced on January 20, 2026 that they are expecting a fourth child. This market will resolve to "Boy" if Usha Vance or J.D. Vance announce their fourth child is a boy. This market will resolve to "Girl" if Usha Vance or J.D. Vance announce their fourth child is a girl. If the sex of the child is not known or announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on statements from Usha Vance, J.D. Vance, or their legal or social media representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-baby-boy-or-girl
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