Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 4% on 25 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 104 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 10.4% on 17 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.1 points up, to 10.4% on 17 Oct 2024. $154.69K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 8:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 25 Jul 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2024 | 4.0% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Respekboom | Yes | 55 |
| Malikpi1998 | Yes | 25 |
| Golden Sphinx FD23 | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if J.D. Vance and/or Usha Vance announce their intention to divorce between July 24 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement by November 4 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from J.D. Vance, Usha Vance, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jd-usha-vance-divorce-before-election
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 17.01 |
| mrbender | Yes | 7.78 |
| Straight-Corporation | No | 1.03 |
| Blissful-Grid | Yes | 0.58 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.09 |
| kMBJzv2cEh | No | 0.09 |
| Goatsonly | No | 0.08 |
