
Resolved Yes on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.8% on 20 Jan 2026 and the low 52.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 96.8% on 16 Jan 2026. $2.59K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 52.5% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 364 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 258 |
| from10dollarstodream | No | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 146 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 116 |
| Intrepid-Civilian | No | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 74 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 39 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Japanese general election is scheduled between October 10, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Japanese election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/japanese-snap-election-called-in-2025
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