Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 96% on 17 Jan 2026. $67.28K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dimon0707 | No | 28K |
| TungstenTamaki | No | 1.99K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 222.67 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 218 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Japanese general election is scheduled between October 10, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Japanese election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/japanese-snap-election-called-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| ThaboMartin | No | 214.26 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 111 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 75 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 44 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 26 |
