Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 9 Nov 2025 to 6 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 31% on 1 Dec 2025. $454.2 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 9 Nov 2025 – 6 Dec 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 6 Dec 2025 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, December 6, 2025 between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.
Resolution source: https://www.jleague.jp/en/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jap-ngr-avi-2025-12-06
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