
Resolved No on 8 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 8 Nov 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 24 Oct 2025 and the lowest 24.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 27.5% on 1 Nov 2025. $2.94K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 9, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 8 Nov 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 8 Nov 2025 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 984 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 574.69 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 377 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 311 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 8, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: https://www.jleague.jp/en/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jap-kas-yok-2025-11-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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