Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 40.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 4 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 34.5% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 40.5% on 12 Oct 2026. $12.68K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 8:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 34.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rayvanmechelen | No | 1.14K |
| yang66 | No | 370 |
| ghostorder | No | 261.6 |
| pmguanyi | No | 228.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Cerezo Ōsaka and Kawasaki Frontale.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jap-cer-kaw-2026-10-17
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| scofield2 | No | 132.03 |
| koxma | No | 123.18 |
| Tayyu | No | 117.8 |
| Infantile-Burning-Spell | No | 100 |
| grinlorber | No | 90.2 |
| -Mooner- | No | 81.72 |
