Yes is at 86%, up 36 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
The high was 88.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the low 45% on 16 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 85%; a month ago, 52%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 45% on 16 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Jalen Hurts 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns”.
$98.78 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $52.1, with a 22.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 0x0820-3 with 20 shares; the largest No position is Haradwaith with 29.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 106 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 3:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 87.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Haradwaith | No | 29.41 |
| 0x0820-3 | Yes | 20 |
| 0x0820-4 | Yes | 18.6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Jalen Hurts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jalen Hurts does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Jalen Hurts recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jalen-hurts-rushing-touchdowns-2026-27
| Ivory Meteor 83FC |
| No |
| 9.2 |
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