Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 287 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 29 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 19.5% on 30 Aug 2025. $179.13K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 29 Aug 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 53.96K |
| Low-Pen-Promenade | Yes | 8.96K |
| SolaEclipse | Yes | 7.73K |
This is a market on who will be the next actor to play James Bond in the upcoming film series.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635
| Barabiceps | Yes | 2.64K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.99K |
| DERELICTE! | Yes | 1.67K |
| pze123 | Yes | 1.62K |
| bryantheguyn | Yes | 1.29K |
| jonah20 | Yes | 1.19K |
| Manchild | Yes | 1.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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