Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 14 Nov 2025 and the low 35.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 35.5% on 11 Nov 2025. $2.5K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 26 points · 4 Nov 2025 – 29 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Nov 2025 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jakckiehejian | Yes | 106.57 |
| Revolving-Mantel | Yes | 52.63 |
| lagomff | Yes | 16.67 |
| markyu | Yes | 5.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 29, 2025 If V-Varen Nagasaki wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.jleague.jp/en/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ja2-tok-vva-2025-11-29
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