Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 30 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 30 Nov 2025 and the low 24% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 25% on 2 Dec 2025. $6.46K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 30 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FTX2.0 | Yes | 925.93 |
| Actual-Pouch | Yes | 61.22 |
| Unaware-Service | Yes | 17.39 |
| fkarasek | Yes | 6.85 |
| mkdem | Yes | 5.26 |
| Adesember8O | Yes | 2.04 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 1.97 |
| HALBAEYO | Yes | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Saturday, December 6, 2025 between Tokushima Vortis and Júbilo Iwata.
Resolution source: https://www.jleague.jp/en/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ja2-tok-jub-2025-12-06
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