Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 27 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 10 Oct 2026, the highest close was 51% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 27% on 4 Oct 2026. $13.77K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 10 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 51.0% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Venusian | Yes | 1K |
| Hollow-Clothes | Yes | 265 |
| RN1 | Yes | 240.96 |
| Amber Summit 097A | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ja2-jub-con-2026-10-10
| Guajjangi | Yes | 70 |
| Solar Summit BC33 | Yes | 51 |
| seeyouanymore | Yes | 50.63 |
| SnakeBall | Yes | 40 |
| dkdnbdjxb | Yes | 39 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Yes | 33.42 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
