
Resolved No on 23 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 23 Nov 2025, the highest close was 51% on 2 Nov 2025 and the lowest 38% on 5 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 38% on 5 Nov 2025. $159.6 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 23 Nov 2025, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 23 Nov 2025 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GetRewardUSDDDD | Yes | 5 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5 |
| Emerald Beacon 0FCC | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Sunday, November 23, 2025 between Iwaki FC and Renofa Yamaguchi FC.
Resolution source: https://www.jleague.jp/en/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ja2-iwa-ren-2025-11-23
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