Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 3 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 3 Apr 2024 to 1 May 2024, the highest close was 1.5% on 11 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.8% on 18 Apr 2024. $4.43K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 3 Apr 2024 – 1 May 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2024 | 1.3% |
| 1 May 2024 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Elliotwood | Yes | 58.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if J. K. Rowling is arrested between April 1, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against J. K. Rowling and information from J. K. Rowling's legal representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/j-k-rowling-arrested-in-april
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