
Resolved Yes on 10 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 47.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 29 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 31 Dec 2025 and the low 47% on 3 Jan 2026. $166.53K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 29 Dec 2025 – 10 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | 48.0% |
| 10 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zeichner | No | 69.2 |
| Chopiren | No | 40 |
| axiol | No | 38.28 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 24 |
| nzone | No | 11.69 |
| yec0003 | No | 8.7 |
| l1quant | No | 7.64 |
| Illiterate-Source | No | 2.22 |
| TpMpD | No | 0.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 10, 2026 If Carrarese Calcio wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.legaserieb.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itsb-car-bar-2026-01-10
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