Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 21 May 2026 and the low 49.5% on 22 May 2026. $159.57 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 5:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 21 May 2026 – 22 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 May 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hesure | No | 100 |
| orbitalcoins2 | No | 59.57 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Ho Ching Wu and Sae Noguchi in the ITF Women Toyama, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 12:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ho Ching Wu' if Ho Ching Wu advances against Sae Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Sae Noguchi' if Sae Noguchi advances against Ho Ching Wu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-wu-noguchi-2026-05-21
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